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Ed
Wood
"The Right Stuff"
Published June 12, 2002 |
The lottery. Always the lottery
Bet you thought with all the attention on the income tax that
the lottery tax was dead. Not hardly! Former Clinton aide James
Carville is credited with developing the scheme to couple lottery
referenda with gubernatorial elections. The idea is that liberals
will turn out to vote for the lottery, and while they are at
it, also vote for the liberal (a.k.a. Democrat) gubernatorial
candidate. His strategy has already been successful in electing
three Southern Democrat governors: South Carolina, Georgia, and
I believe, Alabama.
So the Demo-dominated Tennessee legislature is following Carville's
plan for this fall's general election. As it now stands, first
on the November ballot will be the vote for governor. Listed
second on the ballot will be the vote to amend Article XI, Section
5, of the Tennessee Constitution (SJR No. 1), " to authorize
the General Assembly to propose legislation that if passed would
allow a lottery in Tennessee." Then the vote for U.S. Senate
candidates, Congressional candidates, etc., etc.
But Tennessee is a little different. We have a little-known
and even less understood procedure to determine the results of
a vote to amend the Tennessee Constitution. "In order for
a proposed constitutional amendment to be adopted, the amendment
must be approved by a 'majority' (i.e., 50 percent plus 1) of
all the individuals of the state who vote in the election for
governor."
This means that the total number of votes cast in favor of
the lottery, per se, is irrelevant! The only thing that matters
is a comparison of the number of "yes" lottery votes
relative to the total votes for governor. It is quite possible
for the lottery amendment to win 2:1, and still fail, unless
it passes the simple majority rule of the gubernatorial vote.
It then follows that the fewer votes cast for governor, the greater
the chance for passage of the lottery amendment.
As we all know, there is an active movement to entice many
first-time voters to the polls in order to support the lottery.
But the most positive move toward passage of the lottery amendment
would be for these first-time, one-issue voters to vote the lottery
only, and not place a gubernatorial vote.
So look for a revision in the November election to place the
lottery amendment at the top of the ballot, with the gubernatorial
selection as far down as they dare to make it.
Interesting, huh?
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Ed Wood is a resident of Sparta, TN. His column is published
each Wednesday in the Crossville Chronicle.
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