CROSSVILLE CHRONICLE

Opinion

 

David Spates
"Therefore I Am"

520,000 miles? Missed us by that much

Eeeks! That was close.

In people terms, 520,000 miles is a substantial distance. To put it in perspective, if you drove 15,000 miles a year (which is a pretty fair amount of driving), it would take you nearly 35 years to rack up 520,000 miles on the odometer. That's a lot of trips to the gas pump and lots of Baby Ruth wrappers crammed into the glove box.

In cosmic terms, relative to the vastness of the universe, 520,000 miles is an eyelash away. Last week, Earth was that close to "one of the worst disasters in human history," as one scientist put it, and it barely raised an eyebrow. (I have lots of eye-oriented hair references today. I'm not sure why.)

On Monday, Jan. 7, an asteroid 1,000 feet in diameter missed Earth by 520,000 miles. Had it struck land, it would have wiped out an area the size of Texas. If it plopped into a body of water, it would have created monster waves that would have devastated most of the world's coastal cities.

So, what did you do that Monday? I vaguely remember Dennis Miller making forced obscure references during the Baltimore-Minnesota game that night, but otherwise it was a fairly forgettable day. Anna crawled, I chased her and fed her pulverized squash. Jan. 7, 2002 could have been remembered as the darkest day in human history. Thousands were killed on Sept. 11, 2001. MILLIONS would have been killed had that asteroid hit.

I find that rather unsettling.

There's not much point in worrying about it, though. Apart from shaking my fist at the heavens, there's little I can do about rocks falling from space. I'm not sure NASA could do much either, other than giving us a few days' warning. The asteroid was discovered more than a month ago by NASA's Near-Earth Asteroid Tracking program. They knew it was coming, and they knew the count would be 1-0.

But what if they determined it was going to land smack-dab in downtown Dallas or wherever? What then? Maybe there's some double-super-secret global security weapon sitting in a hangar somewhere in New Mexico, but I doubt it.

Perhaps we could get folks out of the way of an asteroid that size. How long would it take to evacuate all of Texas? Do we have someone working on that?

And you thought leaving Neyland Stadium was a traffic headache.

To paraphrase Maxwell Smart, the asteroid missed us by that much.

If you're still not grasping how close 520,000 miles is on a galactic scale, consider how people who study these things, and incidentally are much smarter than I, measure cosmic distances. They use a unit of measurement called a megaparsec, which, I know, sounds like it was taken from an episode of "Star Trek." It's a real word, though, and one megaparsec is the distance light travels in 3.26 million years. On a much smaller scale, there's always a light year, which is the distance light travels in only one year. One light year is roughly 5.9 trillion miles. Converting miles to megaparsecs is too much for my feeble brain to consider. It's a long, long way.

Too much math? I know. It can get a little abstract for most of us.

Here's a simpler way to consider how close that asteroid came. Someone standing 100 feet away shoots a gun, and the bullet misses your head by, say, 10 inches. For you, 10 inches is WAY too close for comfort. If that moron had been wearing his glasses, he'd have blown your head off! Now, consider the shot from a flea's perspective. To a teensy flea, 10 inches is a huge distance. Everything is relative. To a person, 10 inches is darn near a fatal shot. To a flea, 10 inches is the other side of town.

If an asteroid that size can creep up on us with little more than a month's notice, what other nasty surprises are drifting around out there? An asteroid that size would have destroyed a large state or a medium-sized country. Scientists estimate that an asteroid slightly less than one mile in diameter would be what they call a "global killer," meaning that it would wipe out all life on Earth. A bug or two might survive, maybe even a handful of lawyers, but that's about it. (I have plenty of lawyers in my family, so I feel I can poke fun at them from time to time. Lawyers appreciate good lawyer jokes.)

So what do we do about all of this? Nothing. Don't worry about it. Life's too short for Chicken Little impressions. We should enjoy our time on this cosmic pinhead we call Earth. If you feel the need to spend your limited time wringing your hands, worry about something you can do something about, like avoiding any movie starring Keanu Reeves. If a killer asteroid comes your way, you'll be the first -- and the last -- to know about it.

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David Spates is a Knoxville resident and Crossville Chronicle contributor whose column is published each Tuesday. He can be reached at davespates@chartertn.net.

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